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Australia's Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said China has assured him that demand for Australian resources will stay strong, shielding the commodities-dependent economy from the global financial crisis.
Mandarin-speaking Rudd said he telephoned Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao on Monday and was told commodity demand would hold up despite China's growth slipping from "11 and 12 percent down to 9 and 10 per cent".
"Part of the long-term strategy of this government, and the strategy for the period immediately ahead, is how to more deeply and broadly engage with the Chinese economy," Rudd told Australian media on Thursday.
However, senior sources told The Sydney Morning Herald the Government was factoring in a small drop in demand from China.
Australia is pinning its hopes on China to ride out the current turmoil on international financial markets. The country's central bank slash interest rates by one percentage point this week to try and maintain economic growth and liquidity.
Shares in Australia's fourth largest iron ore producer, Mount Gibson Iron Ltd, dropped sharply on Thursday after the company said key Chinese customers had requested shipment delays due to stockpiles at Chinese ports and less steelmaking.
Markets saw the move as a sign of weakening Chinese demand for Australian commodities amid global market uncertainty.
China's economy may be critical to Rudd's fledgling centre-left government, elected only last year, with polls slipping and analysts warning that a severe downturn could see Rudd ousted after only one three-year term in 2010 elections.
The IMF's latest World Economic Outlook this week predicted strong Chinese and Asian demand for Australia's mineral and energy exports would help Canberra dodge any global recession, although growth would slip from 4.2 per cent in 2007 to 2.5 per cent in 2008 and 2.2 per cent in 2009.
China vies with Japan as Australia's biggest trading partner, with two-way trade worth $52 billion ($US34 billion). Beijing now accounts for 14.2 per cent of all Australian exports, mostly in iron ore, and economic ties are growing at 16.8 per cent a year.
Australian Finance Minister Lindsay Tanner said Australia was well placed to lift exports to China beyond the mining boom as the two countries moved nearer to a free trade pact during the latest round of talks last week in a three-year negotiation.
"Because of our proximity to China and because of connections through things like mining and of course the imports we get from China we're well positioned to broaden that relationship into things like professional services and financial services," Tanner told Australian radio.
IMF Says Crisis To Dent China
China will not be immune from the global financial crisis but its overall rate of growth should remain high, IMF managing drector Dominique Strauss-Kahn has said.
"It would be very surprising if a power like China would just be looking at the crisis from a balcony without being very concerned," Mr Strauss-Kahn told a press conference ahead of the fall meeting of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.
"Nonetheless, (China's) rate of growth will remain very high," Mr Strauss-Kahn said, adding it was important that China continue to shift its economy to one fueled more by domestic demand than by exports.
Brazil, another fast-growing economy in recent years, will also take a hit from the crisis but its strong economic fundamentals will help it weather the storm, he said.
Mr Strauss-Kahn conceded that governments and international policymakers had done a poor job of forecasting the extent of the financial woes now facing the world.
"I think it is fair to say that all of us have underestimated the strength of the financial crisis ... What appears is the roots of this crisis are deeper than expected," Mr Strauss-Kahn said.
However, the IMF forecasts global recovery should begin near the end of 2009, he said.
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